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內(nèi)容簡介

　　地鐵車輛和供電系統(tǒng)是城市軌道交通的重要組成部分，包括車門系統(tǒng)、牽引系統(tǒng)、制動(dòng)系統(tǒng)、輪對(duì)、高壓斷路器等關(guān)鍵系統(tǒng)和設(shè)備及車輛主要備品備件，這些系統(tǒng)和設(shè)備的健康狀態(tài)不僅關(guān)系軌道交通系統(tǒng)的安全，還對(duì)提高城市軌道交通車輛運(yùn)營的安全性和可靠性及乘客的舒適性體驗(yàn)有重要作用。本書介紹了地鐵車輛與供電系統(tǒng)維修策略優(yōu)化及預(yù)測技術(shù)方面的一些最新研究成果，重點(diǎn)介紹了車門系統(tǒng)、牽引系統(tǒng)、制動(dòng)系統(tǒng)、輪對(duì)、高壓斷路器的可靠性分析、可靠性建模和維修策略優(yōu)化方法和技術(shù)，還對(duì)城市軌道車輛軸承部件剩余壽命預(yù)測及備品備件的需求預(yù)測技術(shù)進(jìn)行了概述。

作者簡介

　　魏秀琨，北京交通大學(xué)教授，在系統(tǒng)建模、控制理論、故障診斷、人工智能應(yīng)用等領(lǐng)域累計(jì)發(fā)表100多篇論文，其中SCI論文20余篇，EI/ISTP檢索論文90多篇篇；發(fā)表的論文被國內(nèi)外學(xué)者累計(jì)引用900多次。出版故障診斷、軌道安全狀態(tài)檢測和列車故障診斷方面的專著3部，編寫教材1部，申請(qǐng)發(fā)明專利30多項(xiàng)，軟件著作權(quán)10多項(xiàng)。

圖書目錄

第1 章緒論 ··········································································.001
1.1 軌道交通維修策略優(yōu)化和預(yù)測現(xiàn)狀 ···································.002
1.1.1 維修的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 ···················································.002
1.1.2 預(yù)測性維修的優(yōu)化目標(biāo) ··········································.009
1.1.3 車輛維修現(xiàn)狀 ······················································.014
1.1.4 剩余壽命預(yù)測發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 ··········································.017
1.1.5 備品備件需求預(yù)測概述 ··········································.022
1.2 本書的主要內(nèi)容 ····························································.028
參考文獻(xiàn) ···········································································.029
第2 章車門系統(tǒng)可靠性分析與維修策略優(yōu)化 ································.037
2.1 離散時(shí)間馬爾可夫過程 ···················································.037
2.2 通用生成函數(shù)法 ····························································.040
2.2.1 通用生成函數(shù)法的基本原理 ····································.040
2.2.2 復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)的通用生成函數(shù)技術(shù) ·································.041
2.3 可靠性模型及維修周期優(yōu)化 ·············································.045
2.3.1 通用生成函數(shù)法可靠性指標(biāo) ····································.045
2.3.2 系統(tǒng)可靠性建模概述 ·············································.046
2.3.3 維修周期優(yōu)化模型 ················································.047
2.4 車門系統(tǒng)可靠性建模與維修策略優(yōu)化 ································.048
2.4.1 車門系統(tǒng)可靠性建模 ·············································.048
2.4.2 車門系統(tǒng)的可靠性指標(biāo)計(jì)算 ····································.055
2.4.3 車門系統(tǒng)維修策略優(yōu)化 ··········································.056
2.5 本章小節(jié) ·····································································.058
參考文獻(xiàn) ···········································································.058
第3 章基于Phase-type（PH）分布的系統(tǒng)可靠性分析 ··················.060
3.1 PH 分布的基本概念 ······················································.060
3.1.1 PH 分布的定義 ····················································.060
3.1.2 PH 分布的性質(zhì) ····················································.062
3.1.3 PH 分布的可靠性指標(biāo) ···········································.064
3.2 基于PH 分布的串并聯(lián)系統(tǒng)可靠性分析 ······························.065
3.2.1 串聯(lián)系統(tǒng) ····························································.065
3.2.2 并聯(lián)系統(tǒng) ····························································.067
3.3 牽引系統(tǒng)案例分析 ························································.071
3.3.1 系統(tǒng)描述 ····························································.071
3.3.2 模型分析與建立 ···················································.072
3.3.3 系統(tǒng)可靠性指標(biāo)的計(jì)算 ··········································.074
3.4 制動(dòng)系統(tǒng)案例分析 ························································.075
3.4.1 系統(tǒng)描述 ····························································.075
3.4.2 模型分析與建立 ···················································.077
3.4.3 系統(tǒng)可靠性指標(biāo)的計(jì)算 ··········································.080
3.4.4 可靠性與維修策略對(duì)比分析 ····································.081
3.5 車門系統(tǒng)案例分析 ························································.082
3.5.1 系統(tǒng)描述 ····························································.082
3.5.2 模型分析與建立 ···················································.083
3.5.3 系統(tǒng)可靠性指標(biāo)的計(jì)算 ··········································.086
3.5.4 可靠性與維修策略對(duì)比分析 ····································.087
3.6 本章小結(jié) ····································································.088
參考文獻(xiàn) ···········································································.088
第4 章基于沖擊理論的維修策略優(yōu)化 ··········································.090
4.1 沖擊理論概述 ······························································.090
4.1.1 故障機(jī)理分析 ······················································.090
4.1.2 基于Poisson 沖擊流的累積損傷模型 ·························.093
4.2 基于沖擊理論的組合維修概率模型 ···································.095
4.2.1 輪對(duì)磨耗及維修效果分析 ·······································.095
4.2.2 維修策略描述 ······················································.097
4.2.3 組合維修概率模型 ················································.099
4.3 故障風(fēng)險(xiǎn)及組合策略優(yōu)化模型 ··········································.108
4.3.1 輪緣厚度超限故障風(fēng)險(xiǎn) ··········································.108
4.3.2 組合維修策略優(yōu)化模型 ··········································.110
4.4 案例分析 ·····································································.111
4.5 本章小結(jié) ·····································································.118
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